Loss Estimation and seismic risk assessment in Eastern Turkey

Uncertainty propagation in probabilistic seismic loss estimation

Probabilistic estimation of losses in a building due to earthquake damage is a topic of interest to decision makers and an area of active research. One promising approach to the problem, proposed by the Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research (PEER) Center, involves breaking the analysis into separate components associated with ground motion hazard, structural response, damage to components and...

Seismic Risk Assessment of Power Substations

Power networks are among the most important infrastructures that without them, industrial, economic and social procedures will halt. Therefore, they should be planned for the most difficult conditions to provide services with minimum disruption. Power substations are of great importance to a power network, because any disruption in their components can produce extensive problems through the net...

Assessment of seismic loss dependence using copula.

The catastrophic nature of seismic risk is attributed to spatiotemporal correlation of seismic losses of buildings and infrastructure. For seismic risk management, such correlated seismic effects must be adequately taken into account, since they affect the probability distribution of aggregate seismic losses of spatially distributed structures significantly, and its upper tail behavior can be o...

Seismic vulnerability and loss assessment for buildings in Greece

high volatility, thick tails and extreme value theory in value at risk estimation: the case of liability insurance in iran insurance company

در این بررسی ابتدا به بررسی ماهیت توزیع خسارات پرداخته میشود و از روش نظریه مقادیر نهایی برای بدست آوردن برآورد ارزش در معرض خطر برای خسارات روزانه بیمه مسئولیت شرکت بیمه ایران استفاده میشود. سپس کارایی نظریه مقدار نهایی در برآورد ارزش در معرض خطر با کارایی سایر روشهای واریانس ، کواریانس و روش شبیه سازی تاریخی مورد مقایسه قرار میگیرد. نتایج این بررسی نشان میدهند که توزیع ،garch شناخته شده مدل...